by Rafael Rosa on April 20, 2010
The Canadian Dollar went off-the-charts today as the Bank of Canada (“BoC”) speculated that rates may start going up in July 2010 (WSJ Article). To see the press release from the BoC, click here. I was short the USD/CAD & AUD/CAD crosses and long the CAD/JPY cross at the time of the release. Overall, it [...]
by Rafael Rosa on April 15, 2010
Yes, mistakes were made. On a realized basis, I’m roughly flat for the week. While my recent trades have worked out well, the EUR/USD and EUR/JPY (x2) trades that were held over the weekend just killed me. As mentioned in the last intraday weekly review, it was the wrong decision to keep them. The short [...]
by Rafael Rosa on April 13, 2010
Alright, I made a bad decision in keeping my EUR/USD and EUR/JPY shorts over the weekend. The odds of an “agreement” on the Greek bailout was big and I knew it. The only reason I kept the positions is because they were very small (And we’ve been told this before). Nevertheless, I could have put [...]
by Rafael Rosa on April 9, 2010
The Yen is all over the place these days. The Greece issue has created quite some volatility as risk-aversion snaps back and forth from the market. All in all, more volatility means more trade opportunities. The massive selling of the EUR/JPY and GBP/JPY crosses (and the other Yen crosses too) took a pause during the [...]
by Rafael Rosa on April 7, 2010
The Bond Vigilantes are going to kill Greece. At the current pace, it probably won’t happen this week, maybe not this month, but it seems like it’s going to happen. A recent post at Abnormal Returns talked about a potential catastrophe for the U.S. resulting from a secular upward trend in long-term yields. However, if [...]